What is prognostics and how does it work in trucks and buses?

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With years of experience building engines and innovating groundbreaking technologies to address our customers’ greatest challenges, Cummins Inc. knows that businesses need forward-looking diagnostic system solutions. As the only manufacturer offering asset-based prognostics for Commercial Vehicles, Cummins’ digital vehicle maintenance goes beyond traditional diagnostic systems.

Here’s all you need to know about prognostics and Cummins predictive service solutions.

What is prognostics?    

Predictive service insights, also known as prognostics, is preventative technology at its finest.

Cummins digital remote diagnostics solutions are constantly evolving to support customer’s greatest needs. Our prognostics products have the capability to combine remote monitoring and predictive technology with real-time equipment operation that has advanced analytics. This helps avoid unnecessary downtime and reduce cost, all while providing the reliability you need. Technology like this detects likely component failures before they occur.

It can identify performance abnormalities before a fault is triggered and rank notifications by severity, enabling customers to address the most pressing issues first and develop a smarter maintenance plan for equipment. Customers are able to intervene sooner, avoiding more costly repairs while preventing potential further issues. This proactive approach decreases unplanned downtime while enhancing an engine’s overall performance and reliability. 

Cummins’ full suite of digital technologies, applications and hardware are designed for your equipment and business. Cummins Connected Solutions® meet stringent data security, storage, processing and transmission requirements. They’ve been validated to deliver optimal performance for current and future capabilities. Cummins ensures that customer data is protected and only shared in the manner to which customers agree.

How does prognostics work?

With real-time remote monitoring and advanced analytics, prognostics uses data-driven insights to anticipate potential faults. It can analyze those data trends and performance patterns so that future problems can be avoided before they occur. 

Cummins is constantly receiving and monitoring data to evaluate the health and performance of every engine in a customer’s fleet – whether it’s ten or a thousand engines. While insights are gathered for every engine, including the healthy ones, Cummins will only notify customers of the critical few that require attention. For example, a customer with 5000 vehicles in their fleet may only receive notifications for 500 of their vehicle’s engines as the remaining 4500’s data was evaluated, and all came back with no issues. Cummins remote monitoring technology maintains a high level of accuracy across every engine in a customer’s fleet, not simply the ones with potential issues.

Ultimately, preventative maintenance can greatly extend the lifespan and performance of engines and vehicles while helping customers reduce downtime and costs. It also gives customers peace of mind knowing that Cummins continually monitors all vehicles while the customer can focus on the few that need attention. Cummins stands by our predictions, covering the cost of replacing components predicted to fail during the vehicle’s warranty period.

Prognostics can be enabled directly through Acumen®, Cummins’ smart computing hardware, or via your original equipment manufacturer or telematics service provider.

Why is prognostics important for fleets? 

Increased uptime

There are many benefits of remote prognostics. With costs and logistical challenges associated with unscheduled downtime, having a tool that provides early warnings of potential engine problems is invaluable. 

The ability to predict problems before they threaten smooth operations means repairs can be scheduled to align with routine maintenance stops. This increased uptime not only ensures that truck and bus services remain consistent but also improves customer satisfaction.

Cost savings

Prognostics can offer financial benefits that are crucial for efficient vehicle management. The ability to preemptively identify potential problems allows for better budget planning and control. It can also aid in reducing unexpected repair costs and extend the life of the vehicle by ensuring that minor issues don’t escalate into major, costlier problems. Prognostics even has the potential to reduce the total cost of vehicle ownership.

Additionally, prognostics’ role extends beyond immediate vehicle maintenance. The collection of data allows for better long-term strategic decisions. Understanding patterns of wear and tear under specific operating conditions, for example, can influence future vehicle purchasing decisions. 

Improved engines 

Data analyzed through prognostics helps Cummins continue to build and innovate. Such insights ensure that we’re not only continually providing the best engine for you today, but also building for your power needs for the future, ensuring only the highest standards of durability and reliability. 

Key examples of prognostics in action

Cummins can monitor and predict, using advanced datasets, when a component is likely to fail on an engine. An alert is sent to the customer providing detailed information about the issues and recommending preemptive maintenance. This proactive measure ensures the issue is addressed before it becomes truly damaging, significantly boosting vehicle uptime and avoiding costly, unplanned downtime.

Explore Cummins’ full suite of electronic service tools, from software and mobile applications to digital hardware geared to optimize the performance and reliability of your Cummins-powered equipment. Ask your Cummins representative or Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) about how to sign up for access.

Cummins’ prognostic solutions provide a critical tool for modern trucking and bus fleet management, offering powerful predictive capabilities to anticipate and prevent future vehicle issues. To discover more about Cummins’ remote technologies and products coming soon, contact your local Cummins sales office today.

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Cummins Inc.

Cummins, a global power technology leader, is a corporation of complementary business segments that design, manufacture, distribute and service a broad portfolio of power solutions. The company’s products range from internal combustion, electric and hybrid integrated power solutions and components including filtration, aftertreatment, turbochargers, fuel systems, controls systems, air handling systems, automated transmissions, electric power generation systems, microgrid controls, batteries, electrolyzers and fuel cell products.

Cummins Custompaks are being used for water management as Thailand struggles with its water crisis

CustomPak on site

Water crisis

Sixty Cummins Inc. CustomPaks are in service in Thailand as part of a critical water management plan aimed at easing the country’s water crisis – a crisis that has caused enormous economic and social damage and stirred conflict among communities.

Over the past several decades, Thailand has continually faced water problems caused by severe drought. Water reserves in dams and reservoirs are insufficient while water resources are often contaminated with toxins caused by urban communities and the industrial and agricultural sectors.

Severe flooding is a threat, too, at a time when the realities of climate change are hanging over the country.

As a result, the allocation of precious water resources, which must be shared among various stakeholders including new and existing industry, large and small agriculture, and cities and villages has become a flashpoint.

Kittithanapat Engineering Co. (KTP), has been involved in the water management system since 1996, working closely with authorities such as the Royal Irrigation Department, Department of Water Resources, Bangkok Metropolitan Authority and others.

CustomPaks on site

600 hp CustomPaks

To help KTP meet its often urgent requirements, Cummins DKSH (Thailand) has recently supplied 60 Australian-built CustomPaks – 45 powered by Cummins’ X15 engine rated at 600 hp, and 15 powered by the QSL9 rated at 325 hp. These fully self-contained powerpacks are emissions certified to Tier 3.

The CustomPaks are coupled to hydraulically-driven, large-volume submersible water pumps sourced by KTP from US company Moving Water Industries (MWI); KTP is the exclusive distributor in Thailand for these MWI Hydroflo pumps.

Prior to Cummins’ involvement, KTP was using another diesel engine brand but service support wasn’t up to the standard required.

Long-serving KTP engineer Kittisak Thanasoot says Cummins DKSH’s reputation for technical and aftersales support along with the reliability of the Cummins product were a key reason behind KTP’s decision to specify the CustomPaks for the Royal Irrigation Department.

The ability of Cummins DKSH to respond to short delivery times was also important.

“Supplying large quantities of high horsepower diesel engines for emergency situations such as flash flooding can be a challenge for KTP,” says Kittisak Thanasoot.

“Responding to the needs of the government agencies to manage such problems in a timely manner and with least impact on communities, KTP has found the answer in our partnership with Cummins DKSH.”

Power, pride and passion

Parked semi truck

The switch back to Cummins power has been beneficial for iconic New Zealand company Uhlenberg Haulage. It's all about whole-of-life costs.

Uhlenberg Haulage is closing in on 60 years in business, having been founded in 1966 by Mike and Carol Uhlenberg.

Based in Eltham, Taranaki, in New Zealand’s North Island, the operation is today owned and operated by their sons Chris, Daryl and Tony Uhlenberg.

Describing the Uhlenbergs as “old school family truckies”, Daryl talks about the company’s time-honored journey with a definite tone of pride, especially the work of his parents in laying the foundations for what is today an iconic fleet in its own right.

Cummins Inc. made its debut in the Uhlenberg fleet in 1971 with an NH250 powering a second-hand Kenworth K923 used in logging. A second Kenworth, a new W924 with a Cummins NTC335, followed soon after hauling an LPG tanker.

The Uhlenberg operation today comprises 40 prime movers and a variety of trailing gear to cater for the myriad of a jobs the fleet is involved in.

A number of Peterbilts feature in the fleet although Kenworth is now the brand of choice with six new units to be delivered over the next 12 months to cater for business growth.

Cummins’ X15 Euro 5 engine rated at 550 or 600 hp is the preferred power specification, with 18 red engines currently in the fleet.

Uhlenberg family in front of truck

Whole-of-life support

“The switch to Cummins has been a very good experience for us. We have nothing but praise for the Cummins organization,” says Daryl.

“The whole-of-life picture is the key thing for us and we’ve got that nailed with the support we get from Cummins – parts availability, scheduled maintenance, life expectancy and in-frame rebuilds.

“So the red engines turn up, we run them to life, which is 900,000 to 1.2 million kilometers, and then Cummins does an in-frame overhaul in a timely manner. If there’s an issue, parts and support are close by.

“The support we get from Cummins Palmerston North is fantastic, second to none.”

Daryl recently looked under a Kenworth that was in the workshop for a service and was surprised to see no oil leaking from the one-million-kilometer X15. “I remember when I was a fitter we had to wear a raincoat when working under a truck,” he jokes.

Fuel agnostic

Acknowledging that the push to decarbonize is now “very real”, Daryl likes the idea of Cummins’ fuel agnostic concept where one base internal combustion engine, optimized to run on diesel, can also be customized to run on ultra-low and zero-carbon fuels like renewable natural gas and hydrogen.

“My father was a pioneer of linehaul trucking in New Zealand and he always embraced new technology. He was never scared of it,” he says.

“I tend to be a little more cautious but I can see where a 500 hp natural gas or hydrogen engine would work for us in short haul applications,” he admits. “We’re certainly willing to look closely at these alternative fuel technologies when suitable infrastructure is in place.”

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